search query: @author Ceng, Yi / total: 1
reference: 1 / 1
« previous | next »
| Author: | Ceng, Yi |
| Title: | Chinese population growth and food demand and supply prospects in the 21st century: II (original in Chinese) |
| Journal: | Market and Demographic Analysis (c)
1996 : 4, p.7 |
| Index terms: | POPULATION FOOD FORECASTING CHINA |
| Language: | chi |
| Abstract: | The ideal scheme for the Chinese population growth is: moderate birth rate, moderate mortality rate, increasing gradually heightened average childbearing age and realizing gradually urbanization of the population. So China's total population curve will be close to positive distribution and amount to 1.47 billion by the year 2035 and then show a smooth decrease and reach a stable population growth state with 6% of negative growth rate in the second half of next century. The ratio of the aged people will be at the rate of 24% to 26% at that time, and less than 1.1 billion in 2100. In that case, the food demand and supply, resulting from population growth will have not so great pressure as the western researchers predicted. |
« previous | next »
SCIMA