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Author:Lindh, T.
Malmberg, B.
Title:Age structure and inflation - a Wicksellian interpretation of the OECD data
Journal:Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
1998 : JUL, VOL. 36:1, p. 19-37
Index terms:INFLATION
SAVINGS
INVESTMENTS
OECD
Freeterms:AGE EFFECTS
CUMULATIVE PROCESS
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper studies annual OECD data 1960-1994 using age variables to explain inflation. Panel estimations of a reduced form inflation-stage model show a robust correlation consistent with the hypothesis that increases in the population of net savers dampen inflation while especially the younger retirees fan inflation as they start consuming out of accumulated pension claims. This pattern is expected from life-cycle saving but could also due to age effects on budget deficits or on money demand. The results are potentially important for monetary policy and inflation forecasts.
SCIMA record nr: 179283
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