search query: @author Ziamou, P. L. / total: 1
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Author:Schnaars, S.
Ziamou, P. L.
Title:The essentials of scenario writing
Journal:Business Horizons
2001 : JUL-AUG, VOL. 44:4, p. 25-31
Index terms:PREDICTION THEORY
FORECASTING TECHNIQUES
SCENARIOS
LONG RANGE PLANNING
UNCERTAINTY
Language:eng
Abstract:Scenarios offer an attractive alternative to the false precision promised by pointestimate forecasts. A qualitative character of scenarios is more in keeping with the messy future encountered in realworld forecasting - especially long-term forecasting of radically new products and technologies, on which data are few and uncertainty in rife.
SCIMA record nr: 221574
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