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| Author: | Tang, J. C. S. Espinal, C. G. |
| Title: | A model to assess country risk. |
| Journal: | Omega
1989 : VOL. 17:4, p. 363-367 |
| Index terms: | COUNTRY RISK DELPHI TECHNIQUE |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | A dynamic mathematical model is developed for country risk analysis based on past performance and estimations of key socio-economic ratios in selected countries. A risk level is determined, using a weighed additive model. In sum, the model proposed is practical and can be updated to systematically conduct country risk assessments for most countries. The developed model only considers quantifiable social and economic factors that are available or can be estimated from reliable international sources. The results obtained can serve as a useful guide for decision-makers who have to bear in mind that the model only uses quantifiable data. |
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