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Author:Campbell, J.
Title:Understanding risk and return
Journal:Journal of Political Economy
1996 : APR, VOL. 104:2, p. 298-345
Index terms:RISK
POLITICAL ECONOMY
STOCK MARKETS
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper uses an equilibrium multifactor model to interpret the cross-sectional pattern of postwar US stock and bond returns. Priced factors include the return on a stock index, revisions in forecasts of future stock returns and revisions in forecasts of future labor income growth. Aggregate stock market risk is the main factor determining excess returns: but in the presence of human capital or stock market mean reversion, the coefficient of relative risk aversion is much higher than the price of stock market is.
SCIMA record nr: 148756
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