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Author:Graham, J.
Harvey, C.
Title:Grading the performance of market-timing newsletters
Journal:Financial Analysts' Journal
1997 : NOV-DEC, VOL. 53:6, p. 54-66
Index terms:FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT
ECONOMICS
Language:eng
Abstract:Many investment newsletters offer market-timing advice; that is, they are supposed to recommend increased stock market weights before market declines. Examination of the performance of 326 newsletter asset-allocation strategies for the 1983-95 period shows that as a group, newsletters do not appear to possess any special information about the future direction of the market. Nevertheless, investment newsletters that are on a hot streak may provide valuable information about future returns.
SCIMA record nr: 171166
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