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Author:Rubebusch, G. D.
Title:Assessing nominal income rules for monetary policy with model and data uncertainty
Journal:Economic Journal
2002 : APR, VOL. 112:479, p. 402-432
Index terms:Monetary policy
Incomes policy
History of economic thought
Language:eng
Abstract:Nominal income rules for monetary policy have long been debated, but two issues are of particular recent interest. First, there are questions about the performance of such rules over a range of plausible empirical models - especially models with and without explicit rational inflation expectations. Second, there are questions about the performance of these rules in real time using the type of data that is actually available contemporaneously to policy makers rather than final revised data. The paper determines optimal monetary policy rules in the presence of such model uncertainty and real-time data uncertainty and finds only a limited role for nominal output growth.
SCIMA record nr: 237230
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