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Author:Bensaid, B.
Jeanne, O.
Title:Self-fulfilling currency crises and central bank independence
Journal:Scandinavian Journal of Economics
2000 : VOL. 102:4, p. 605-620
Index terms:CENTRAL BANK INDEPENDENCE
CURRENCY
FINANCIAL POLICY
UNEMPLOYMENT
Language:eng
Abstract:The authors develop a model of a fixed exchange rate peg arrangement derived from the Barro-Gordon model of rules versus discretion. It is shown that the fixed peg is vulnerable to self-fulfilling currency crises in which the unemployment rate increases, the credibility of the rule decreases, but, paradoxically, the reputation of the policy-maker improves. Delegating monetary policy to an independent central banker does not prevent this type of crisis from arising, and can even make it more costly.
SCIMA record nr: 220817
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