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Author:Chu, T.-H.
Swidler, S.
Title:Forecasting emerging market exchange rates from foreign equity options
Journal:Journal of Financial Research
2002 : FALL, VOL. 25:3, p. 353-366
Index terms:Emerging markets
Exchange rates
Stock markets
Options
Language:eng
Abstract:The use of dirivatives to infer future exchange rates has long been a subject of interest in the international finance literature. With the recnt currency crises in Mexico, Southeast Asia, and Brazil, work on exchange rate expectations in emerging markets is of particular interest. To illustrate the use of foreign equity options in estimating market beliefs, the authros consider Telmex options around the 1994 oeso devaluation and find evidence that markets anticipated the change in the Mexican government's foreign exchange policy.
SCIMA record nr: 239801
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