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Author:Cole, H. L.
English, W. B.
Title:Expropriation and direct investment
Journal:Journal of International Economics
1991 : MAY, VOL. 30:3-4, p. 201-227
Index terms:EXPROPRIATION
FOREIGN INVESTMENT
ECONOMIC THEORY
FINANCIAL RISK
CAPITAL INVESTMENT
GOVERNMENT
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
Language:eng
Abstract:At least since Keynes (1924), economists have realized that foreign investments suffer from political as well as economic risk. As a result, lenders and investors must consider the government's decision to expropriate foreign assets. A model is provided in which private foreign investors make direct long-lived capital investments in a small developing country that is subject to stochastic shocks to production. Depending upon the preferences of the host country, it was found that expropriation can occur because of either "desperation" or "opportunism". It is shown that under reasonable assumptions increased investment makes expropriation less likely to occur. The optimal level of investment is also investigated.
SCIMA record nr: 93094
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