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| Author: | Arkes, H.R. Faust, D. Guilmette, T.J. |
| Title: | Eliminating the hindsight bias |
| Journal: | Journal of Applied Psychology
1988 : MAY, VOL. 73, No. 2, p.305-307 |
| Index terms: | SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY BIAS PROBABILITY |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | An effort to eliminate hindsight bias, when those who consider the likelihood of an event after it occurs exaggerate their ability to predict the event in advance, among 194 neuropsychologists who read a case history and were asked to estimate the probability of 3 different diagnoses in 3 hindsight groups. The method, subjects, procedure and results. A Table illustrates the study. |
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