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Author: | MartÃnez, J. Vega-Garcia, C. Chuvieco, E. |
Title: | Human-caused wildfire risk rating for prevention planning in Spain |
Journal: | Journal of Environmental Management
2009 : FEB, VOL. 90:2, p. 1241-1252 |
Index terms: | fires forest economics risk analysis logistics regression analysis Spain Mediterranean countries models |
Freeterms: | human factors fire causes wildfire assessment |
Language: | eng |
Abstract: | This article identifies human factors associated with high forest fire risk in Spain and analyzes the spatial distribution of fire occurrence in the country. It is used the spatial units were 6,066 municipalities of the Spanish peninsular territory and Balearic Islands and covered a 13-year series of fire occurrence data. This paper used one hundred and eight variables were generated and input to a dedicated Geographic Information System (GIS) to model different factors related to fire ignition. After exploratory analysis, 29 were selected to build a predictive model of human fire ignition using logistic regression analysis. Thirteen explanatory variables were identifies by the model. etc. It is argues the model can be considered a good predictor of human-caused fire risk, aiding spatial decisions related to prevention planning in Spanish municipalities. |
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