search query: @indexterm FORECASTING / total: 1417
reference: 221 / 1417
Author: | Bass, F. M. |
Title: | DIRECTV: Forecasting Diffusion of a New Technology Prior to Product Launch |
Journal: | Interfaces
2001 : MAY-JUN, VOL. 31:3, p. s82-s93 |
Index terms: | FORECASTING DIFFUSION TECHNOLOGY INNOVATION PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT |
Language: | eng |
Abstract: | The authors conducted research for planning the launch of a satellite television product, leading to a prelaunch forecast of subscriptions of satellite television over a five-year horizon. The forecast was based on the Bass model. The authors derived parameters of the model in part from stated-intentions data from potential consumers and in part by guessing by analogy. The 1992 forecast of the adoption and diffusion of satellite television proved to be quite good in comparison with actual subscriptions over the five-year period from 1994 through 1999. |
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