search query: @indexterm FORECASTING / total: 1417
reference: 144 / 1417
| Author: | Chng, M. Gannon, G. |
| Title: | Contemporaneous intraday volume, option, and futures volatility transmissions across parallel markets |
| Journal: | International Review of Financial Analysis
2003 : VOL. 12:1, p. 49-68 |
| Index terms: | VOLATILITY FORECASTING OPTIONS MARKETS |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | The primary objective of this article is to investigate volatility transmission across three parallel markets operating on the Sydney Futures Exchange (SFE), both within and out of sample. Half-hourly observations are sampled from transaction data for the share price index (SPI) futures, SPI futures options, and 90-day bank accepted bill (BAB) futures markets, and the analysis is carried out using the simultaneous volatility (SVL) system of equations as well as competing volatility models. The results confirm the poor ability of GARCH models to fit intraday data. This study also applies an artificial nesting procedure to evaluate the out-of-sample volatility forecasts. |
SCIMA