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Author:Constantinides, G. M.
Title:Rational asset prices
Journal:Journal of Finance
2002 : AUG, VOL. 57:4, p. 1567-1591
Index terms:Assets
Capital asset pricing
Financial theory
Language:eng
Abstract:The mean, covariability, and predictability of the return of different classes of financial assets challenge the rational economic model for an explanation. The unconditional mean aggregate equity premium is almost seven percent per year and remains high after adjusting downwards the sample mean premium by introducing prior beliefs about the stationarity of the price-dividend ratio and the (non)-forecastability of the long-term dividend ratio and the forecastability of the long-term dividend growth and price-dividend ratio. Recognition that idiosyncratic income shocks are uninsurable and concentrated in recessions contributes toward an explanation. Also borrowing constraints over the investors' life.
SCIMA record nr: 236923
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