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Author:Koop, G.
Dijk, H. van
Title:Testing for integration using evolving trend and seasonal models: a Bayesian approach
Journal:Journal of Econometrics
2000 : AUG, VOL. 97:2, p. 261-292
Index terms:BAYESIAN STATISTICS
UNIT ROOTS
MARKOV CHAINS
Language:eng
Abstract:In this paper, the authors make use of state space models to investigate the presence of stochastic trends in economic time series. A model is specified where such a trend can enter either in the autoregressive representation or in a separate state equation. Tests based on the former are analogous to Dickey-Fuller tests of unit roots, while the latter are analogous to KPSS tests of trend stationarity.
SCIMA record nr: 217575
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