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Author:Alvarez, L. H. R.
Kanniainen, V.
Södersten, J.
Title:Tax policy uncertainty and corporate investment: A theory of tax-induced investment spurts
Journal:Journal of Public Economics
1998 : JUL, VOL. 69:1, p. 17-48
Index terms:Taxation
Companies
Investments
Policy
Models
Language:eng
Abstract:The anticipatory effects of corporate tax reform of the tax-cut cum base-broadening variety are analyzed in a dynamic stochastic adjustment model of firm behavior, focusing on the case where the firm is uncertain both about the timing and the contents of the expected reform. The value of the firm is solved prior to and after the reform. The existence of investment spurts prior to the implementation of the tax reform is established. Rigorous results are derived under constant returns and the effects of diminishing returns are explained. The expectation of a future tax cut causes the firm to accelerate optimal investment, while the expectation of a reduction in the tax base has the opposite effect. For a firm which updates information, timing uncertainty interacts with the expectation effect. In addition, increased timing uncertainty may accelerate or decelerate investment as an optimal response to an expected tax cut.
SCIMA record nr: 180661
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