search query: @author McCardle, K.F. / total: 2
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Author:McCardle, K.F.
Winkler, R.L.
Title:Repeated gambles, learning, and risk aversion
Journal:Management Science
1992 : JUN, VOL. 38:6, p.807-818
Index terms:DECISION MAKING
RISK
LEARNING
UTILITY ASSESSMENT
Language:eng
Abstract:A decision problem with repeated gambles is analyzed. It was found that under some reasonable risk-averse utility functions, recommended behavior for the initial decision can be highgly risk-taking and counterintuitive. Further analysis shows that the derived utility function for the return of the first gamble is discontinuous because gains or losses carry positive or negative signals regarding future prospects. A variant of the basic model without the duscontinuity in derived utility has essentially the same implication. In principle, the grand world can be modelled and all implications of grand-world utility functions can be understood this way.
SCIMA record nr: 107459
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