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Author:Lorek, K.
Willinger, G.
Title:A multivariate time-series prediction model for cash-flow data
Journal:Accounting Review
1996 : JAN, VOL. 71:1, p. 81-102
Index terms:CASH FLOW
TIME SERIES
CAPITAL TRANSFER TAX
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper provides evidence on the time-series properties and predictive ability of cash-flow data. It employs a sample of firms on which the accuracy of one-step ahead cash-flow predictions is assessed during the 1989- 1991 holdout period. The authors develop a new multivariate time-series prediction model that employs past values of earning, short-term accruals and cash-flows as independent variables in a time-series regression. results indicate that this model clearly outperforms firm-specific and common-structure ARIMA models as well as a multivariate, cross-sectional regression model popularized in the literature.
SCIMA record nr: 147393
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