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Author:Neely, C.J.
Weller, P.A.
Title:Technical analysis and central bank intervention
Journal:Journal of International Money and Finance
2001 : DEC, VOL. 20:7, p. 949-970
Index terms:CENTRAL BANKS
EXCHANGE RATES
USA
Freeterms:INTERVENTION
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper extends genetic programming techniques to show that US foreign exchange intervention information improves technical trading rules' profitability for two of four exchange rates over part of the out-of-sample period. Rules trade contrary to intervention and are unusually profitable on days prior to intervention, indicating that intervention is intended to halt predictable trends.
SCIMA record nr: 229117
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