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| Author: | Kucera, D. Milberg, W. |
| Title: | Deindustrialization and changes in manufacturing trade: factor content calculations for 1978-1995 |
| Journal: | Review of World Economics
2003 : VOL. 139:4, p. 601-624 |
| Index terms: | Factor analysis International trade Manufacturing |
| Freeterms: | Deindustrialization |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | This study uses input-output analysis to estimate the labour content embodied in changes in manufacturing ouput resulting from changing patterns of manufacturing trade. For ten OECD countries from the late 1970s to the mid-1990s, changes in world trade of manufactures are estimated to have had a negative net effect on manufacturing employment of 3.5 million jobs, 2.0 million in the US alone, compared to a 6.2 million decline in actual manufacturing employment. The employment losses resulted mainly from North-South trade. At the industry level, there were large losses in labour-intensive industries and in industries that were strategically targeted by developing country industrial policies. |
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