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Author:Apsimon, H. M.
Wilson, J.
Title:The application of numerical models to assess dispersion and deposition in the event of a nuclear accident.
Journal:Journal of Forecasting
1991 : JAN, VOL. 10:1-2, p. 91-103
Index terms:FORECASTING TECHNIQUES
MODELS
NUCLEAR POLLUTION
Language:eng
Abstract:Since the Chernobyl accident in 1986 numerical models have been used in risk studies to assist in emergency procedures by predicting the dispersal and deposition of radionuclides leading to the exposure of the population. However, the use of models in real situation is distrusted by many people who trust radiological measurements instead. Some uncertainties involved in modelling are discussed, addressing capabilities and limitations of such models. It is suggested that a combination of both approaches should be employed, using numerical modelling as an aid in intelligent interpretation of measurements in an emergency situation following a major nuclear accident.
SCIMA record nr: 86761
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