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Author:Simon, M.
Title:Man, I´m smart about how stupid I am!
Journal:Business Horizons
2001 : JUL-AUG, VOL. 44:4, p. 21-24
Index terms:STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT
PREDICTION THEORY
FORECASTING TECHNIQUES
STRATEGY
Language:eng
Abstract:Being absolutely certain that one's erroneous predictions are right is where the real danger lies. To help managers avoid being overconfident of their business predictions, here are some lessons.
SCIMA record nr: 221573
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