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Author:MacDonald, R.
Title:Exchange rate behaviour: Are fundamentals important?
Journal:Economic Journal
1999 : NOV, VOL. 109:459, p. 673-691
Index terms:ECONOMICS
EXCHANGE RATES
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper focuses on a controversy which is central to the international economics literature, the role and usefulness of traditional economic in explaining exchange rate behavior. 3 aspects of the controversy are addressed: the ability of fundamentals to explain or capture the longer run trends in the behavior of exchange rates; the ability of fundamentals to produce exchange rate forecasts which are an improvement over the simple martingale; the sources of real exchange rate variability and reconciling such with regime volatility.
SCIMA record nr: 201278
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