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Author:Kirikos, D.
Title:The role of the forecast-generating process in assessing asset market models of the exchange rate: a non-linear case
Journal:European Journal of Finance
1996 : JUN, VOL. 2:2, p. 125-144
Index terms:EXCHANGE RATES
ASSETS
NON-LINEAR MODELS
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper contains an assessment of three variants of the monetary approach to exchange rate determination when the dynamics of the information variables are described by a Markov switching regimes process which generates non-linear forecasts. A large information set is used and the empirical results are based on monthly data on six major US Dollar exchange rates over the period 1978-90. The relevant cross-equation restrictions are tested statistically and the economic significance of the model is evaluated on the basis of appropriate volatility tests.
SCIMA record nr: 152980
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