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Author:Singh, H.
Title:Relative evaluation of subjective and objective measures of expectations formation
Journal:Quarterly Review of Economics and Business
1990 : SPRING, VOL. 30:1, p.64-74
Index terms:FORECASTING
ECONOMIC FORECASTING
Language:eng
Abstract:Econometric forecasts and subjective estimates are often used as proxies for the underlying expectations process. The author develops a framework for evaluating the relative reliability of objective and subjective estimates. It is shown that the lack of ex post conformity between different realizations can be decomposed. The model is estimated in a controlled setting.
SCIMA record nr: 80418
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