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Author:Sawyer, W. Ch.
Sprinkle, R. L.
Title:Alternative empirical estimates of trade creation and trade diversion: a comparison of the Baldwin-Murray and Verdoorn model
Journal:Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv
1989 : VOL. 125:1, p. 61-73
Index terms:TARIFFS
TRADE
ECONOMETRIC MODELS
Language:eng
Abstract:Preferential tariffs have both trade creating and trade diverting effects. To estimate them, two models are used in the literature. The Baldwin-Murray model assumes that the good being traded is a homogeneous product. In the Verdoorn model it is a differentiated product with known elasticity of substitution. The present paper investigates the two models in a unified framework and finds that the two models produce identical trade creation estimates. Trade diversion however will be larger in the Baldwin- Murray formulation if the ratio of non-preferred imports to domestic production is greater than the share of preferred import to total import.
SCIMA record nr: 69171
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