search query: @indexterm PROBABILITY / total: 292
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| Author: | Costello, F.J. |
| Title: | Fallacies in probability judgments for conjunctions and disjunctions of everyday events |
| Journal: | Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
2009 : JUL, VOL. 22:3, p.235-251 |
| Index terms: | probability |
| Freeterms: | probabilistic reasoning conjunction fallacy disjunction fallacy frequentist probability |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | The study describes three experiments showing that the conjunction fallacy occurs as consistently for conjunctions where frequentist probalitity theory is valid as for other conjucntions. A reliable correlation between the occurrence of the conjunction fallacy and the disjunction fallacy is also demonstrated. |
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