search query: @author Ehrman, C. / total: 3
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Author:Ehrman, C.
Shugan, S.
Title:The forecaster's dilemma
Journal:Marketing Science
1995 : VOL. 14:2, p. 123-147
Index terms:FORECASTING
DECISION MAKING
MARKET RESEARCH
Language:eng
Abstract:Influential forecasts occur when the forecast itself determines whether the forecast is tested. new product sales forecasts are often influential because a low forecast may cause a firm not to launch a new product so that actual sales are never observed. This paper considers a dilemma the authors face as influential forecasters. Their client requests an unbiased forecast but pressures sometimes exist to provide a bias forecast. The impact of these pressures on the quality of forecasts is discussed.
SCIMA record nr: 139442
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