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Author:Bertocchi, G.
Spagat, M.
Title:Structural uncertainty and subsidy removal for economies in transition
Journal:European Economic Review
1997 : DEC, VOL. 41:9, p. 1709-1733
Index terms:TRANSITION ECONOMICS
SUBSIDIES
UNCERTAINTY
LEARNING
Language:eng
Abstract:Economies in transition are faced with a high degree of "structural uncertainty" the effects of which on a subsidy removal program are studied. Subsidy removal causes unemployment, but yields fiscal benefits and facilitates private sector growth. When the policymaker does not know the speed with which the private sector absorbs the unemployed, he will be driven toward a more decisive, and therefore more informative, policy. The model also rationalizes policy reversals and implies that irreversibility constraints and political instability dampen the learning effect making policy more gradualist.
SCIMA record nr: 170935
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