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Author:Guo, J.
Sturzenegger, F.
Title:Crazy explanations of international business cycles
Journal:International Economic Review
1998 : FEB, VOL. 39:1, p. 111-134
Index terms:ECONOMICS
INTERNATIONAL
BUSINESS CYCLES
Language:eng
Abstract:International real business cycle models have been unable to provide a good explanation for the consumption-output anomaly: in theoretical economies, consumption is more strongly correlated across countries than is output, whereas the opposite is the case in the data. This paper examines an increasing returns-to-scale model in which the economy is subject to "belief" shocks that affect the consumption Euler equations rather than productivity. Under the assumption that there are no contingent claim markets on the realization of "sunspots", the belief-driven model cam account for the consumption-output anomaly even with a separable period utility function.
SCIMA record nr: 178332
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