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| Author: | Garland, G. H. |
| Title: | Peru in the 21st century : challenges and possibilities. |
| Journal: | Futures
1990 : MAY, VOL. 22:4, p. 375-395 |
| Index terms: | FUTURE STUDIES PERU SCENARIOS |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | The Peruvian 21st century study, initially conceived in 1981 and still going on, is a large programme consisting of several interlinked projects. Simulations have been done on the future of 10 key national factors, and these simulations have then been integrated to produce scenarios describing alternative feasible futures. At the same time, a group of desired scenarios has been constructed using personal interviews and a consultation process. There has been initial work on a third project examining key external factors affecting Peruvian development. Especially noteworthy products of the study are the user-friendly spreadsheet models, which make the feasible futures component of the study highly accessable to interested decision makers. |
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