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Author:Boudoukh, J. (et al.)
Title:Do asset prices reflect fundamentals? Freshly squeezed evidence from the OJ market
Journal:Journal of Financial Economics
2007 : FEB, VOL. 83:2, p. 397-412
Index terms:market efficiency
futures markets
volatility
models
Freeterms:nonlinearity
Language:eng
Abstract:The frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) futures market is cited by literature as a prominent example of the failure of prices to reflect fundamentals. By contrary, this study shows that when theory clearly identifies the fundamental, e.g. at temperatures (here as: temps.) close to or below freezing, a close link exists btw. FCOJ prices and that fundamental. A model is used to explain about 50 percent of the return variation on days with freezing temps.
SCIMA record nr: 263676
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