search query: @indexterm SOCIAL CHANGE / total: 343
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| Author: | Zachariadis, T. Samaras, Z. Zierock, K. |
| Title: | Dynamic modeling of vehicle populations: an engineering approach for emissions calculations |
| Journal: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1995 : OCT, VOL. 50:2, p. 135-150 |
| Index terms: | SOCIAL CHANGE TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING DYNAMIC MODELS |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | A model initially developed for forecasts of air pollutant emissions from motor vehicles is presented, with special emphasis on its vehicle dynamics module. Vehicle density forecasts are performed separately for passenger cars, trucks, buses, and motorcycles. Combined with estimates of vehicle usage parameters they are used to predict the total traffic volume ap to the year 2010. The internal turnover of the vehicle fleet is simulated with a modified Weibull function. |
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