search query: @indexterm SOCIAL CHANGE / total: 343
reference: 72 / 343
| Author: | Mercer, D. |
| Title: | Determining aggregated expectations of future outcomes |
| Journal: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1997 : JUN, VOL. 55:2, p. 155-164 |
| Index terms: | FUTURE SOCIAL CHANGE TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | This article describes a package of new research techniques that have been developed to allow investigation of long-term global trends. It is based on the theory that expectations (of managers) intimately effect the macro- outcomes of aggregated individual actions. A knowledge of these expectations may be used as a guide to their future actions, and hence to future outcomes overall. To allow this knowledge to be obtained, the qualitative techniques were developed as part of a program of research. |
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