search query: @indexterm SOCIAL CHANGE / total: 343
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| Author: | Watts, R. Porter, A. |
| Title: | Innovation forecasting |
| Journal: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1997 : SEP, VOL. 56:1, p. 25-47 |
| Index terms: | TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING SOCIAL CHANGE INNOVATION |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | Technological forecasting is premised on a certain orderliness of the innovation process. Myriad studies of technological substitution, diffusion, and transfer processes have yielded conceptual models of what matters for successful innovation, but most technological forecasts key on limited empirical measures quite divorced from those innovation processes models. The authors glean a number of concepts from various innovation models, then present an array of bibliometric measures that offer the promise of operationalizing these concepts. |
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