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| Author: | Vries, B. de |
| Title: | Greenhouse gas emissions in an equity-, environment-, and service-oriented world: an IMAGE-based scenario for the 21st century |
| Journal: | Technological forecasting and social change
2000 : FEB/MAR, VOL. 63:2/3, p. 137-174 |
| Index terms: | TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING SOCIAL CHANGE ENVIRONMENT |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | This article describes a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scenario for a world that chooses collectively and effectively to pursue service-oriented economic prosperity while taking into account equity and environmental concerns, but without policies directed at mitigating climate change. After peaking around 2050 at 2.2 times th 1990 level of primary energy use, a number of factors lead to a primary energy use rate at the end of the next century that is only 40% higher than the 1990 rate. |
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