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Author:Hintermann, B.
Title:Allowance price drivers in the first phase of the EU ETS
Journal:Journal of Environmental Economics and Management
2010 : JAN, VOL. 59:1, p. 43-56
Index terms:environmental economics
markets
air pollution
climate
change
asset valuation
pricing
models
European Union
Freeterms:emissions permit markets
trading
Language:eng
Abstract:Related with the European Union (EU) Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) and through deriving a structural model of the allowance price under the assumption of efficient markets, it is examined the extent to which the price variation can get explained by marginal abatement (hereafeter as: m-a.) costs. The model is gradually relaxed by allowing for delayed adjustment of price to fundamentals, as well as by introducing lagged LHS variables. The pattern of results suggests that while prices were initially not driven by m-a. costs, this inefficiency was largely corrected after the accounting of 2005 emissions in Apr, 2006.
SCIMA record nr: 269348
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