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Author:Canova, F.
Nicolo, G. de
Title:On the Sources of Business Cycles in the G-7
Journal:Journal of International Economics
2003 : JAN, VOL. 59:1, p. 77-100
Index terms:BUSINESS CYCLES
DEVELOPED ECONOMIES
STRUCTURAL CHANGE
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper examines sources of cyclical movements in output, inflation and the term structure of interest rates in the G-7. It employs a novel identification approach which uses the sign of the theoretical cross correlation function in response to shocks to catalog orthogonal disturbances. The authors find that demand shocks are the dominant source of output and inflation fluctuations in several of the G-7 countries. The proportion of term structure variability explained by different structural sources does not depend on the horizon. Apart from the US and Canada, structural shocks are nearly uncorrelated across countries.
SCIMA record nr: 252392
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