search query: @author O'Leary, D. / total: 4
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| Author: | O'Leary, D. |
| Title: | Knowledge acquisition from multiple experts: an empirical study |
| Journal: | Management Science
1998 : AUG, VOL. 44:8, p. 1049-1058 |
| Index terms: | MANAGEMENT KNOWLEDGE EMPIRICAL RESEARCH |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | Expert systems often employ a weight on rules to capture conditional probabilities. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the quality of probability knowledge when it is acquired from groups or individuals. This paper summarizes the results of an empirical cognitive study on the ability of individuals and groups to provide consistent sets of probabilities. The analysis of these probabilities allowed the study of the ability of subjects to account for Bayes' theorem reversals, a basic assumption made by virtually all algorithms. |
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