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Author:Corsetti, G.
Pesenti, P.
Roubini, N.
Title:A model of the Asian crisis
Journal:European Economic Review
1999 : JUN, VOL. 43:7, p. 1211-1236
Index terms:ASIA
CRISES
MODELS
MORAL HAZARD
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS
Language:eng
Abstract:This paper develops an interpretation of the Asian meltdown focused on moral hazard as the common source of over-investments, excessive external borrowing, and current account deficits. To the extent that foreign creditors are willing to lend to domestic agents against future bail-out revenue from the government, unprofitable projects and cash shortfalls are re-financed through external borrowing. While public deficits need not be high before a crisis, the eventual refusal of foreign creditors to refinance the country's cumulative losses forces the government to step in and guarantee the outstanding stock of external liabilities.
SCIMA record nr: 191234
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