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Author:Veronesi, P.
Title:Stock market overreaction to bad news in good times: a rational expectations equilibrium model
Journal:Review of Financial Studies
1999 : WINTER, VOL. 12:5, p. 975-1007
Index terms:FINANCE
STOCK MARKETS
EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
Language:eng
Abstract:This article presents a dynamic, rational expectations equilibrium model of asset prices where the drift of fundamentals (dividends) shifts between two unobservable states at random times. The author shows that in equilibrium, investors' willingness to hedge against changes in their own "uncertainty" on the true state makes stock prices overreact to bad news in good times and underact to good news in bad times. The author then shows that this model is better able than conventional models with no regime shifts to explain features of stock returns.
SCIMA record nr: 204127
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