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| Author: | Flaig, G. Plötscher, C. |
| Title: | Estimating the output gap using business survey data: a bivariate structural time series model for the German economy |
| Journal: | IFO-Studien
2001 : VOL. 47:2, p. 221-232 |
| Index terms: | BUSINESS SURVEYS OUTPUT TIME SERIES GERMANY |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | Many business cycle researchers and policy makers in central banks and government consider the output gap as the single most important and comprehensive measure of the cyclical state of the economy. In this paper the authors start from a structural time series model which decomposes the observed German GDP-series into trend, cycle and a seasonal part. |
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