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Author:Hertwig, R. (et al.)
Title:The public's probabilistic numeracy: How tasks, education and exposure to games of chance shape it
Journal:Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
2008 : OCT, VOL. 21:4, p. 457-470
Index terms:education
statistics
cognition
probability
theories
Switzerland
Language:eng
Abstract:Very few studies examining people's ability to understand simple concepts and rules from probability theory have drawn representative (here as: repr.) samples from the public. This study explores a repr. sample of 1.000 Swiss citizens, using six probabilistic (as: probl.) problems. It is found that most citizens reasoned appropriately in problems representing pure applications of probability theory. However, they failed to do so in approximations of real world scenarios. In addition, education is associated with probl. numeracy in the former but not the latter type of problems.
SCIMA record nr: 268449
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