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| Author: | Blanning, R.W. Reinig, B.A. |
| Title: | Using group decision support systems to acquire local information: an application to the Hong Kong dollar peg |
| Journal: | Futures
2001 : MAR, VOL. 33:2, p. 127-145 |
| Index terms: | DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS GROUP DECISION MAKING HONG KONG |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | Futurists often employ methods such as Delphi to construct forecasts of critical events. The events are typically of a technological, sociological, environmental, or economic nature and are sometimes directly influenced by political actors. The studies that examine the events are often conducted by researchers and knowledgeable participants who reside within the country in which the events take place. It is often the case, however, that multinational firms would like to forecast such events in countries in which they have neither substantial presence not informed expertise. The authors present a method using Group Decision Support System (GDSS) that allows local knowledgeable people to discuss their views anonymously. This is applied to an analysis of Hong Kong monetary policy. |
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