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| Author: | Chen, K. |
| Title: | Generation dynamics in Computer-integrated manufacturing systems. |
| Journal: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1987 : MAR, VOL. 31:1, p. 19-26 |
| Index terms: | TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING COMPUTER SYSTEMS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY ROBOTS |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | The application of generation dynamics, a methodology for technological forecasting, is widespread in computer-integrated manufacturing systems /CIMS/. Although experts in the same area do not completely agree with one another,their acceptance of experts' opinions on generation dynamics in other areas to be integrated by CIMS helps the forecasts to be mutually reinforcing and self-fulfilling. But on the other hand the unquestioned acceptance, if opinions in other areas become outdated, leads to assumption drag in forecasting. |
SCIMA