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Author:Chong, A.
Zanforlin, L.
Title:Technology and epidemics
Journal:IMF Staff papers
2002 : VOL. 49:3, p. 426-455
Index terms:Health economics
Disease
Technology
Language:eng
Abstract:Evidence from historical and epidemiological literatures shows that epidemics tend to spread in the population according to a logistic pattern. The authors conjecture that the impact of new technologies on output follows a pattern of spread not unlike that of typical epidemics. After reaching a critical mass, rates of growth will accelerate until the marginal benefits of technology are fully utilized. The authors estimate spline functions using a GMM dynamic panel methodology for 79 countries. They use imports of machinery and equipment as a fraction of gross domestic product as a proxy for the process of technological adoption.
SCIMA record nr: 244275
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