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| Author: | Saito, M. Nakamura, S. |
| Title: | Impacts of robotization on the japanese economy. |
| Journal: | Technological Forecasting and Social Change
1989 : APR, VOL. 35:2-3, p. 167-177 |
| Index terms: | ROBOTS JAPAN EMPLOYMENT ECONOMETRIC MODELS ECONOMIC FORECASTING SOCIAL FORECASTING |
| Language: | eng |
| Abstract: | The introduction of robots leads to a reduction of direct labor, whereas it stimulates the investment activity of firms and thereby brings about a rise in indirect employment. It is attempted to evaluate relative magnitudes of both effects of robotization on employment. The forecast of the effect of robotization on the economy as a whole is made on the basis of an econometric model. The results of the survey at the individual firm level are also utilized. The main findings of the forecast for 1985-1990 are that an increase of 155.000 robots in manufacturing will lead to a 71.000 person decrease in employment, and the net effect will be a 23.000 person decrease in employment. |
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