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Author: | Levis, M. Liodakis, M. |
Title: | Contrarian strategies and investor expectations: the U.K. evidence |
Journal: | Financial Analysts' Journal
2001 : SEP/OCT, VOL. 57:5, p. 43-56 |
Index terms: | EXPECTATIONS INVESTMENT STOCK EXCHANGES STRATEGY UNITED KINGDOM |
Language: | eng |
Abstract: | The rationale for the superior performance of contrarian investment strategies remains a matter of lively debate. The orthodox view maintains that such strategies generate higher returns because they are fundamentally riskier, whereas the behaviorists suggest that the superior performance is a result of systematic errors in investors' expectations about the future. If the behavioral view is accepted, then the debate centers on what the underlying source(s) of such errors are - naive extrapolation of past performance or biased analysts' earnings forecasts. Using stocks listed in the London Stock Exchange, the authors found evidence consistent with the view that errors in expectations are more likely to be a result of biases in analysts' earnings forecasts than naive extrapolation of the past. |
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