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Author:Manowe, M.
Padilla, J.
Title:Banking (conservatively) with optimists
Journal:RAND Journal of Economics
1999 : SUMMER, VOL. 30:2, p. 324-350
Index terms:BANKING
OPTIMIZATION
ECONOMICS
Language:eng
Abstract:Commercial banks frequently encounter optimistic entrepreneurs whose perceptions are biased by wishful thinking. Bankers are left with a difficult screening problem: separating realistic entrepreneurs from optimists who may be clever, knowledgeable, and completely sincere. The authors build a game-theoretic model of the screening process. They show that although entrepreneurs may practice self-restraint to signal realism, competition may lead banks to be insufficiently conservative in their lending, thus reducing capital-market efficiency.
SCIMA record nr: 199306
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